Futures

« Back to Glossary Index

In finance, futures are standardized contracts to buy or sell a specific asset at a predetermined price at a specified time in the future. These contracts are traded on futures exchanges and obligate the contract holder to carry out the transaction on the specified date. Futures can involve a variety of underlying assets, including commodities, stocks, bonds, or currencies.

Key Features of Futures

  • Standardization: Futures contracts are standardized in terms of the quantity, quality, and delivery time of the underlying asset. This standardization facilitates trading on futures exchanges.
  • Margin Requirements: Traders are required to post a margin, which is a fraction of the value of the contract, as a form of security. This margin can change as the market value of the futures contract changes.
  • Settlement Dates: Futures contracts specify the dates on which the exchange of the asset will occur.
  • Mark-to-Market: Futures are marked-to-market daily, meaning that daily changes in the value of the contracts are settled day by day until the end of the contract.

How Futures Are Used

  • Hedging: Futures are used to hedge against price changes in the underlying asset, helping businesses manage the risks associated with price volatility. For example, a farmer can use futures contracts to lock in a price for their crop ahead of the harvest, protecting against a drop in prices by the time the crop is ready for sale.
  • Speculation: Traders use futures to speculate on the direction of prices of the underlying assets. By buying futures, they bet on the prices increasing; by selling futures, they bet on prices decreasing.
  • Price Discovery: Futures markets help in determining the expected future prices of assets based on the supply and demand dynamics exhibited by market participants.
  • Risk Management: Futures allow companies and investors to stabilize revenues and expenditures by locking in prices for both inputs and products.

Examples of Futures

  1. Commodity Futures: A coffee manufacturer wants to manage the risk of coffee bean price fluctuations. They can buy coffee futures contracts to secure a guaranteed purchase price, ensuring that they won’t have to pay more if coffee prices rise in the future.
  2. Currency Futures: A U.S. company expecting to make a large payment in euros three months from now can buy euro futures contracts. This move secures an exchange rate today and protects the company against potential unfavorable shifts in the currency market.
  3. Index Futures: An investor anticipating a decline in the stock market can sell S&P 500 futures. If the index falls as expected, the investor can buy back the futures at a lower price, profiting from the decline.
  4. Interest Rate Futures: Financial institutions anticipating changes in interest rates may use interest rate futures (such as Treasury futures) to hedge their interest rate exposure. This can help manage the impact of rate changes on their bond portfolios.

Futures are a vital tool in the financial markets, offering a mechanism for price stabilization, risk management, and speculative opportunities. They enable market participants to manage financial risks associated with price fluctuations in various assets.